Genoa VS AC Milan Match Prediction

  • Logo2016-10-25
  • Logo18:45:00
Genoa
VS
AC Milan

Our Prediction Tip

Draw will win this match.

Given their rich history it is not surprising to see the visitors dominate the hosts in their head-to-head battles, and all in all this will be the 23rd to get involved in some Genoa vs AC Milan betting.

Milan’s lead stands at 12-5 (five draws), although on Genoan soil the hosts tend to perform somewhat better and those fixtures have been shared four wins apiece (plus three draws).

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Genoa vs Milan Prediction

Genoa are unbeaten this term on home soil so far with a win and three draws, and their ability to hold Napoli to a goalless stalemate highlights just how durable they are. They aren’t a team for the neutral spectator to behold though: their last five matches have all witnessed less than three goals.

The hosts have only been beaten once this term too, so Milan have a lot of work to do if they want to end their unbeaten run. But the Rossonerri are on a fine unbeaten streak themselves with four wins and a draw, and in defeating the likes of Lazio, Chievo and Sassuolo they have proven that they can get the better of some of Serie A’s better sides.
Genoa’s inability to defeat Pescara and Empoli on home soil, two sides in the lower reaches of the division, is perhaps evidence of their shortcomings. But clearly they are very difficult to beat, and so the draw has to be the play here.

Genoa vs AC Milan Betting Tips

Both teams are priced at around the 7/4 mark here, which shows just how close a match this is to call. There’s no value in handicap bets, Double Chance or anything like that, so we will have to go with the draw at 12/5, which is still a high percentage wager here.

As mentioned above, matches involving Genoa don’t tend to be high-scoring affair – their last three have gone Under 2.5 Goals, and it is a trend that Milan are happy to play a part in with 50% of their away days also ‘going under’. Let’s take Both Teams to Score – No at 5/4 here.

So far so good for Genoa, who are currently on an unbeaten run of four matches and who can climb into the top six of Serie A with victory here.

Genoa likely XI:

  • Goalkeeper:-Mattia Perin

  • Defenders:-Armando Izzo, Nicolas Burdisso, Lucas Orban

  • Midfielders:-Jules Ntcham, Miguel Veloso, Tomas Rincon, Diego Laxalt

  • Forwards:-Edenilson, Luca Rigoni, Giovanni Simeone

This is much more like the Milan we have come to expect over the years, and with last season’s disappointment behind them the Rossonerri are up to third in Serie A and on an unbeaten streak of five games.

Milan likely XI:

  • Goalkeeper:-Gianluigi Donnarumma

  • Defenders:-Ignazio Abate, Gabriel Paletta, Alessio Romagnoli, Mattia De Sciglio

  • Midfielders:-Juraj Kucka, Giacomo Bonaventura, Manuel Locatelli

  • Forwards:-Suso, M'baye Niang, Carlos Bacca

Two of Serie A\'s most in-form sides clash here and normally you would suggest that something has to give, however you suspect that privately at least both of these teams will be happy with a point. Genoa are so tough to beat on home soil, but lack the necessary quality to finish teams off (see the matches against Empoli and Pescara), while Milan are W2 D1 L1 on the road, which highlights their inconsistency on their travels. You could, at the very extreme, make a case for a Milan victory here, but instead we\'ll back Genoa to keep up their fine form with another draw.
Genoa haven\'t lost on home soil so far this season - a run that stretches to four matches, and that highlights the size of the task facing even an in-form side like Milan.